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  1. whidbey says:

    Believe! it can go much higher because we can believe anything.
    Just own something cause it does not matter.

  2. AussieJS says:

    markets are split,divided and contradicting each other

    this is because they suffer schizophrenia and big pharmer has invented
    a new pill to drug them and calm them down

    actually it is the derivatives that need to be treated as the bears try to force the markets higher to get set

  3. AussieJS says:

    expect some volatility as the world bull comes to a end

    weak internals ,divergences,high hopes,jaws of death ,head shoulders,black swans,red canaries,swarming ants, ending terminal diagonals—-disbelieving

    god save the dying bull

    long live the martian bear

    • whidbey says:

      Take a rest…..the bull is just heading into fall and I say a disgusting run UP that will show all that a global bull run is in the offing.

  4. whidbey says:

    The dollar is weak, we need a massive recovery in GDP.But they predicted recently to it be only about 2%, which is not enough,we need more or the bull market is dead.

    So load up on oil,gold silver,copper,coal,commodities in general. This will take a while, plan on allowing some time. I have played the dollar for years – and made money. In the early 2000s I made a double on my play. Patience is required. Shorting the dollar is OK,but the this move is probably the preferred way: I will use COP,CVX ARLP, RGLD. and such like. Be patient and hold on.

    5

  5. whidbey says:

    135,000 new employee Change in U.S. nonfarm private sector employment. Up a little today but….

    • whidbey says:

      I should say this number is courtesy ADP…………….. 90 p0ints up is courtesy of god only knows who.

  6. AussieJS says:

    is this the top–technically yes

    but may expect a little throw over

  7. whidbey says:

    Nonfarm payroll is down a little, but not enuf to change things much. But wait to see how the economy reacts. Bigger fish to fry.

  8. whidbey says:

    EMM: plan to trade around a core position in the $44-47 range and hold for $52. LOUSY MARKET DAY, SO ….LOOK AROUND for some action.

  9. whidbey says:

    well…up?…..this remains a bull market and that one has no choice but to remain long of equities on balance; however as has said countless times it seems to me one. . . shouldn’t . . . be aggressively long. Modestly… long seems to be the order of the day. keep some dry power???

  10. whidbey says:

    a good place to long energy? Lots of history point to colder weather coming. Should reduce injections keeping storage below 5 year average. Add that with cold winter expectations and we should see a healthy move to the upside in prices of most energy stocks.

  11. Al Tennessen says:

    How often is the “Sector Performance” updated?
    I would appreciate seeing this on a monthly basis.

  12. whidbey says:

    While economists expected an overall pickup in price gains in the aftermath of Hurricanes Harvey — energy costs rose by the most since June 2009 — the details suggest any broader acceleration in U.S. inflation may need more time to gain traction. Watch energy, it is moving.

  13. whidbey says:

    Pulling horns in correction is probable: Holding VDC, VNQ, VOE, VPU etfs. Best

  14. skim says:

    Is the market ever going to retreat? Are we running out of steam? Moving sideways for few days. IWM is flat for 2 weeks now….

  15. AussieJS says:

    when bulls are bulls forever
    and bears are now bulls

    the market is going down forever

    100 quad billion bulls X ZERO === NO BULL

  16. whidbey says:

    Strength in futures Dow mostly, holding some oil stocks too.

  17. whidbey says:

    Will…Jason the market is down a little today, say when to buy…please. My wife is your client, I just work for her.

    • Daddy Paul says:

      Jason is very good but if he always knew when to buy and sell he would be very very wealthy.
      I used to post my buy and sell signals. It is not worth doing. I only did it to prove the point to myself.

  18. Daddy Paul says:

    No crash of 87 today but it should be interesting!

  19. AussieJS says:

    this is the start of a multi decade bear market

    the bulls can buy anytime they want

    • jims says:

      just bought some silver bars and gold coins…hedging for the monetary reset…sdr value of us dollar is 70.89

      • AussieJS says:

        jims

        wise,protection for a debt implosion–gold/silver just starting their rise

        haven’t seen your posts for ages–are u still daytrading

        • jims says:

          yes, mostly crude. i am seeing all sorts of very odd anomalies. The Geo weather storms, the burning of calif. by using a plasma weapon and the false flag shootings in vegas. The dark side is ramping up…all for UN agenda 21…

  20. Daddy Paul says:

    There seem to be very few buyers. Today could be rough. I do think it is short lived.
    Buy low sell high. Or sell high buy lower.

  21. Daddy Paul says:

    Jason
    Very good analysis.

    If anyone cares I am selling on tomorrows expected gap up everything I bought today.

  22. whidbey says:

    It is all allegorical world-building in the US House of Representatives. The budget and taxes are beyond the taxpayer who is in national debt up the neck. Yet…the market today is pleased and up. Good luck””””

  23. whidbey says:

    The frequent use (or overuse) of the term “average” always reminds me of an economics professor saying, (forgive my vulgarity, please), “Speaking of averages, the average person has one tit and one testicle.” It always makes me smile.

    Look for 100% returns, not 4% (average) as I do. There are winners out there I am told. WE pikers are not to be followed as we search for average returns.

  24. 100% you should have your own station or financial channel.

  25. whidbey says:

    The futures are up today, and the week ahead sees many earnings reports yet to come. VIX is up. So by Thursday plan on volatility and low volume, but selling pressure.

  26. whidbey says:

    We finished the 2017 fiscal year in September with a { public and private}, deficit of approximately $666 billion, which is up 13.7% from the previous fiscal year. It looks as though deficits will only worsen in the years ahead, especially if the proposed federal and state tax reforms become law in 2018. The corporate borrowing to buy back stock to sell to the public is the source of most of the greatest growth in debt annually. National bankruptcy leads to inflation. Look at Venezuela…………….soon

  27. jims says:

    The cabal is showing their arse on that one….666B…Luciferians should love this..The light is gaining strength daily and the masses are beginning to awaken..

  28. whidbey says:

    The EU is having a go at money management, Bail-ins where the authorities use your bank deposits to pay off bank or national debt. Insane and frightening, but catching. LOOK in what you can do to protect your wealth because the Congress is playing with its budget, taxes and the rules for spending. You are looking good to many recently.

  29. whidbey says:

    A 60:40 allocation to passive long-only equities and bonds has been a great proposition for the last 35 years,” …”We are profoundly worried that this could be a risky allocation over the next 10.” – Sanford C. Bernstein & Company Analysts (January 2017)

  30. whidbey says:

    Earnings in the high flyers were overall good. But.. A 60:40 allocation to passive long-only equities and bonds has been a great proposition for the last 35 years,” Not all agree.

    …”We are profoundly worried that this could be a risky allocation over the next 10 yrs.” – Sanford C. Bernstein & Company Analysts (January 2017). I am concerned as well.

    What say you???

  31. whidbey says:

    Earnings,politics and the end of the month. I am invested for a ride into spring 2018.

  32. Daddy Paul says:

    Jason
    I enjoyed your weekly report.
    Running my numbers I cannot see a buy signal until Wednesday close and then the whole market has to take a nice beating over the next two days.
    I am too fired up about getting in long. I can’t be the only one. That is why we do math to keep our emotions in place.
    I have been trying to come up with some new formulas since I have not had a buy signal in almost a year and I only hold three to six weeks. It has worked very well for the last 20 years. We are in a new market. People are buying like problem gamblers at a casino. I saw it in 98-early 2000. This looks like it has more legs than the 2000 bubble.

  33. whidbey says:

    My best stks so far this year: INP,FXI. Best bond TLT.

  34. whidbey says:

    “Consumers’ assessment of current conditions improved, boosted by the job market which had not received such favorable ratings since the summer of 2001. Consumers were also considerably more upbeat about the short-term outlook, with the prospect of improving business conditions as the primary driver. Confidence remains high among consumers, and their expectations suggest the economy will continue expanding at a solid pace for the remainder of the year.” Source Gvt BLS, STZ is doing well.

  35. whidbey says:

    The current level of the CAPE ratio relative to its 35-year moving average suggest that stock prices are high. However, a bear market is probably…. not imminent, could years away. In any case, I have a ticket on this train through spring 2018. What do you think.

  36. whidbey says:

    Last Week 2 Weeks Ago. 3 Weeks Ago
    Consensus Index
    Consensus Bullish Sentiment 74% 73% 72%
    Source: Consensus Inc., P.O. Box 520526,Independence, Mo.
    Historical data available at (800) 383-1441. editor@consensus-inc.com

    Bullish but live with what you buy

  37. Too many folks are gun shy.

  38. AussieJS says:

    there is toooo much bull

  39. whidbey says:

    The bottom 80% of tax payers currently pay only about 18% of the total individual tax liability, with the top 20% paying the rest. But the bottom 40% currently have a negative tax liability, and the elimination, or reduction, of many of the deductions could increase taxes for many. I am Concerned about where I fall is this plan…

  40. whidbey says:

    Look at NOBL alleged to be the SPY aristocrats paying 1.98% dividend.

    It is winter but NGas is not moving. Treasury Bond sales today, probably means nothing.

  41. whidbey says:

    So far this year, Chinese tech companies have been the stars. Among exchange-traded funds, the WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Fund (CXSE) has returned 58%, and the Guggenheim China Technology ETF (CQQQ) is up 56%. But…closing the EM plays today. I think the market is going fall and it is time to harvest most investment income. GO With care..

  42. whidbey says:

    Move down starts. sell when you can,not when you have to.

  43. AussieJS says:

    wave 1 down has finished
    wave 2 up is finishing now
    wave 3 down is to come

    alternatively their will be new highs

    unlikely– look at german dax ,ftse jap n225 ,aussie spi

    for fair trade u have to have fair currencies–unlikely

  44. whidbey says:

    “The only difference between death and taxes is that death doesn’t get worse every time Congress meets.” – Will Rogers

    The Western Central bankers met this AM – the discussion was a waste of my time, no idea what they think.

  45. AussieJS says:

    world market patterns and internals are very unstable and weak

  46. whidbey says:

    Duck……

  47. whidbey says:

    From a seasonality point of view, this is a strong TIME OF YEAR for stocks. but…. Money managers are being forced to buy stocks, TO keep the rally alive. caution.

  48. Meanwhile, the stock market is trading like the Futures market.

  49. AussieJS says:

    no one trades mother stocks anymore

    its their highly leveraged derivatives that are important

    opts ex friday

    the market makers want fang nas 100 up

  50. whidbey says:

    inflation indicators are hinting that its time to plan on increased inflation.All in all, inflation looks set to keep accelerating as the last quarter of this year runs out. Recent CPI and core CPI numbers for energy and gold/copper ratio confirm the probabilities. Made money yesterday, today not so much.